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Final Oscar 2008-2009 Nomination Predictions
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Posted by Dan Stasiewski on Jan 21, 2009 in Random | 0 comments

Will The Dark Knight get its Best Picture nod? Will Slumdog nab the most nominations? Will Woody Allen spoil the day for another director? Will Kate Winslet get the two nods she deserves?

What’s going to happen?!

Tomorrow at 8:30 a.m. EST/5:30 p.m. PST the Academy will announce the Oscar nominees. Anyone who has watched the Oscar knows there are bound to be surprises. People are starting to doubt The Dark Knight, but I’m not betting against it. TDK fans will have their day. My final predictions are listed below, but check out the Oscar Predix page to see the evolution of Oscar 2008/2009.

Best Picture

Slumdog Millionaire – And the winner is…
The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Solid, classy, the future of Hollywood.
Milk – The kind of politically-charged, fight-for-what’s-right kind of story the Academy loves.
The Dark Knight – Losing steam at the end, but still the likely to take the fifth spot.
Frost/Nixon – Won’t go away. Too solid of a picture to ignore.
In the Running: WALL-E, Gran Torino

Best Director

Danny Boyle, Slumdog Millionaire – You’re likely winner
David Fincher, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – You’re likely runner-up.
Christopher Nolan, The Dark Knight – More likely than a Best Picture nod at this point.
Gus Van Sant, Milk – His most solid work in years with a political environment that helps.
Woody Allen, Vicky Christina Barcelona – Not going to get too many chances to nominate a legend like Allen again. And he really deserves it. Look for a screenplay win.
In the Running: Ron Howard, Frost/Nixon; Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino;

Best Actress

Kate Winslet, Revolutionary Road – Fully loaded for a win here. More deserved than an Oscar for The Reader. But still a three way race.
Anne Hathaway, Rachel Getting Married – She’s young, hot and de-glams (though not to the extent that we’ve seen in the past) for the role. If there’s anything Oscar is consistent in awarding it’s the type of role Hathaway has here.
Meryl Streep, Doubt – Doubt has become the actors’ movie of the year. A Streep win would recognize the best movie actress working today, as well as a movie that appears to need some love.
Angelina Jolie, Changeling – The star of the moment directed by one of the most respected directors in Hollywood.
Melissa Leo , Frozen River – Taking Hawkins spot because sometimes the Academy does the right thing.
In the Running: Sally Hawkins, Happy-Go-Lucky

Best Actor

Sean Penn, Milk – Possibly Penn’s best work to date, crawling inside the skin of Harvey Milk. Made us hope. Made us believe.
Mickey Rouke, The Wrestler – Bigger than the movie itself. He’s running neck and neck with Penn.
Clint Eastwood, Gran Torino – A fine performance from a legend. He’s never won, which may make this a three-way race.
Frank Langella, Frost/Nixon – The veteran actor reprising his Tony-winning stage role should get the Academy’s attention.
Brad Pitt, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – Holding on for dear life. Watch out for Jenkins.
In the Running: Richard Jenkins, The Visitor

Best Supporting Actor

Heath Ledger, The Dark Knight – Presumptive winner.
Josh Brolin, Milk – Snubbed last year, but still hot. W. helps. Too quiet to overtake Ledger, but a worthy nomination.
Dev Patel, Slumdog Millionaire – You can’t love the movie and not love Patel as older Jamal. A big tell if Oscar is going down the Slumdog road.
Philip Seymour Hoffman, Doubt – One of the finest actors working today in an actors’ movie.
Robert Downey, Jr., Tropic Thunder – If you asked me this in August, I would have said no way. But now, the weak category helps his chances.
In the Running: James Franco, Milk

Best Supporting Actress

Penelope Cruz, Vicky Christina Barcelona – The kind of female actor the Academy loves to honor. If Kate gets the Oscar for Rev Road, this one is waiting for Cruz.
Kate Winslet, The Reader – Dual nominations because she’s good. Dual wins? Welcome to the year of the Kate.
Viola Davis, Doubt – Baity as hell and Davis hits this one, hard.
Taraji P. Henson, The Curious Case of Benjamin Button – More popular than either Pitt or Blanchett at this point.
Marisa Tomei, The Wrestler – An Academy favorite who could ride Rouke’s wave. A nomination here could foretell a Rouke win.
In the Running: Amy Adams, Doubt