2010 Oscar Predictions – A World of HURT
With all the talk of preferential voting in the Best Picture category, you think this would be the year that I would roll the dice on picking something off the wall for Oscar’s big prize. Not the case. While I’ve been MIA from the blog for a few weeks, I’ve been keeping track of The Hurt Locker‘s march toward Oscar. I don’t think I’ve ever seen a more celebrated film in all my time watching Oscar. The Hurt Locker has won every guild award for which it was nominated with the exception of SAG, MPSE, and the yet-to-be-announced ASC (American Society of Cinematographers). The Hurt Locker won over the Anglos, winning 6 BAFTA Film Awards including Best Film. It even won the critics trifecta. with LAFCA, NYFCC, and NSFC all picking it as their top picture. Sure, preferential voting means redistributing votes until one movie gets 50 percent + 1, but I find a scenario where The Hurt Locker isn’t high enough on most ballots to win to be pretty far fetched. An upset is not impossible, but the improbability is very, very high.
So yes, I’m predicting that The Hurt Locker will win Best Picture. And Best Director. And Best Screenplay. I see the film racking up 6 wins on Sunday. Sure, it will be the lowest grossing Best Picture winner ever, but it’s also the film Robert Duvall said “might be the best film I’ve seen in a decade.” That’s an endorsement from an Academy old timer that you can take to the bank.
Who else is going to win? Well, here are my predictions for the 82nd Academy Awards.
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