The Dark Knight is in – Oscar predictions updated

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There’s buzz, and then there’s deafening noise. With $470 million in the bank and now a serious chance at challenging Titanic for the top spot, The Dark Knight is a phenomenon that cannot be ignored. It has a lot against it. It’s a sequel. It’s a superhero movie. But–and I keep hammering at this–the Academy needs a big ratings year.

General consensus would have you believe that The Dark Knight is one of the best motion pictures in years. Some people have said it’s the best movie they’ve ever seen. I wouldn’t go that far, but The Dark Knight is the kind of steamroller that, at the end of the year, more people will remember than a No Country for Old Men. Gosh darn it, people love it. Even the critics are on its side (Metacritic: 82/100, Rotten Tomatoes: 94/100).

I don’t think it’s a question of if The Dark Knight will be nominated for Best Picture. Now, I think it’s a question of whether it will win the top prize. The film won’t get much love from critics groups, with the exception of the Broadcast Film Critics Association. It will be telling in January if BFCA goes for the Bat in a big way. If New York and Los Angeles critics go for it in December, the game is over. Until then, it’s a waiting game.

Updated Oscar Predictions – August 17,2008